Wednesday, March 16, 2016

Climate Models and Foreign Policy

The Syrian crisis receives a great deal of international news coverage in the U.S. For good reason. Pundits and presidential candidates (some not very presidential) pitch solutions or criticisms.

While much is made of social forces in the conflict, there have been natural forces at play as well. Climate change has been a significant contributor to the disruption of the already fragile social order (a-note-on-syria-exponential-case-study).

Cook and others (2016) evaluated the current drought and conclude its the worst drought in the region over the past 900 years. Kelley and others (2015) correlate the severity of the drought with anthropogenic forcing.

A good case for taking account of climate models for foreign policy.


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